About Judith Graham
Judith Graham (@judith_graham), is a freelance journalist based in Denver and former topic leader on aging for AHCJ. She haswritten for the New York Times, Kaiser Health News, the Washington Post, the Journal of the American Medical Association, STAT News, the Chicago Tribune, and other publications.
Here’s a question that reporters on the aging beat should look into as the debate over Medicare rages on:
Where’s the evidence that private insurers would be more successful than Medicare in holding down health care costs for aging Americans?
Nobel prize-winning economist Paul Krugman – a professor at Princeton University and a self-professed liberal – argues that it doesn’t exist. Private insurers have a worse record of keeping health care costs in check than Medicare, not a better one, he wrote this summer in The New York Times.
Take a look at the chart in Krugman’s piece comparing real cost (that means inflation-adjusted) per beneficiary for Medicare and private insurance. As Krugman observes, the sharp increase in Medicare costs is concerning – but the rise in costs for people covered by private insurance is even more so.
“We don’t have a Medicare problem, we have a health care cost problem,” Krugman says.
Critics of Krugman’s piece made several points in the comments section. Costs are shifted routinely from public programs such as Medicare and Medicaid to private insurers, inflating these insurers’ expenses, they note. Private insurers are better at combating fraud and abuse by medical providers than is the government, they claim. And the track record for Medicare Advantage plans – which are run by private insurers and now serve about 25 percent of Medicare beneficiaries – shows that they work well, they observe.
That last point comes with a big caveat, however: Medicare Advantage plans have been getting surplus payments, over and above what they would get under traditional Medicare, for each member and these payments average about $1,000 per member per year. Also, they’ve been found to serve a healthier, less-expensive population of older adults. So, comparing the performance of Medicare Advantage plans and traditional Medicare can be a bit like comparing apples and oranges.
(The Obama administration has proposed eliminating these surplus payments, worth an estimated $156 billion, over the course of the next decade. For a look at the surplus payment issue, see this issue brief from the Commonwealth Fund.)
But I digress – let’s get back to the original question: What evidence exists that private insurance companies will be better at controlling health care costs for older Americans than Medicare? Continue reading →
Judith Graham (@judith_graham), is a freelance journalist based in Denver and former topic leader on aging for AHCJ. She haswritten for the New York Times, Kaiser Health News, the Washington Post, the Journal of the American Medical Association, STAT News, the Chicago Tribune, and other publications.